Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 81.577390 91.309837 101.218918 112.031660 123.467931 135.175293 148.037603
2025-10-12 67.796425 82.018913 97.095073 114.140458 132.757606 152.365933 174.473511
2025-10-19 57.868120 74.440944 92.560246 113.583295 137.065227 162.273413 191.174915
2025-10-26 50.131527 68.298895 88.729794 112.977895 140.580069 170.678875 205.653748
2025-11-02 44.583061 64.032341 86.466615 113.620074 145.025957 179.715387 220.462036
2025-11-09 39.107479 59.319899 83.240304 112.753215 147.409516 186.149953 232.106656
2025-11-16 34.930645 55.815171 81.129595 112.907845 150.725610 193.438938 244.535680
2025-11-23 30.703011 51.880639 78.203988 111.835988 152.394073 198.666452 254.469631
2025-11-30 28.121065 49.868067 77.479995 113.271906 156.896784 207.065977 267.951120
2025-12-07 25.945559 48.215591 77.069366 114.975193 161.626227 215.660215 281.603650
2025-12-14 22.880802 45.082695 74.569029 113.927718 162.917191 220.128013 290.394703
2025-12-21 19.690615 41.493819 71.264413 111.694372 162.623858 222.612992 296.778245
2025-12-28 19.012738 41.589211 72.883893 115.774054 170.140858 234.462250 314.250770
2026-01-04 17.814393 40.797604 73.242047 118.192298 175.587798 243.841027 328.834663
2026-01-11 15.741068 38.459596 71.347045 117.579336 177.184341 248.541333 337.846662
2026-01-18 13.869189 36.265145 69.528827 116.969379 178.708952 253.098407 346.644533
2026-01-25 12.533160 34.834118 68.710752 117.623025 181.780565 259.496614 357.610400
2026-02-01 10.908861 32.734171 66.812631 116.739227 182.831048 263.384265 365.538163
2026-02-08 9.698840 31.244295 65.728466 116.896886 185.168328 268.813916 375.292094
2026-02-15 8.314398 29.257420 63.792098 115.803770 185.831314 272.139446 382.477665
2026-02-22 7.611311 28.522170 63.721984 117.268154 189.794831 279.531708 394.573156
2026-03-01 7.019168 27.946491 63.863371 119.005004 194.100353 287.342305 407.176405
2026-03-08 5.943455 26.195124 62.063786 117.936915 194.676092 290.476942 414.072901